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AI Infrastructure NASDAQ: ASML

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

The only company on Earth that can make EUV lithography machines.

✓ Reviewed by AI Decoded Editorial Team Updated March 2026
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The AI Angle

ASML holds a monopoly position that has no parallel in technology: it is the sole manufacturer of Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, the equipment required to print the most advanced semiconductor patterns at sub-7nm nodes. TSMC, Samsung, and Intel cannot manufacture AI chips without ASML's machines. Each EUV system costs approximately €180 million and takes over a year to produce, making ASML a critical chokepoint in global AI chip supply.

In 2026, ASML is scaling its next-generation High-NA EUV systems (priced at €350+ million each), which enable 2nm and below manufacturing. These are being adopted by TSMC for N2 node production and Intel for its 18A process. ASML reported full-year 2025 net sales of €32.7 billion and guided 2026 revenue to €34–€39 billion — the high end driven by accelerating DRAM and logic demand for AI workloads. Q4 2025 net bookings hit €13.2 billion, signaling a strong forward pipeline.

Key Numbers

€32.7B
2025 Full Year Revenue
Net sales; Q4 2025 report (Jan 28, 2026)
€9.6B
2025 Net Income
Full year 2025
€34B–€39B
2026 Revenue Guidance
Company guidance (Jan 2026)
€13.2B
Q4 2025 Net Bookings
Strong forward demand signal

Sources: ASML Q4 2025 press release (Jan 28, 2026), Forbes (Jan 9, 2026), Yahoo Finance (Jan 30, 2026)

Upcoming Catalysts

  • High-NA EUV system ramp at TSMC and Intel for sub-2nm nodes
  • AI-driven DRAM expansion (HBM4) requiring more EUV passes
  • CHIPS Act fab construction in US, Japan, and Europe driving equipment orders
  • Installed base growth: service/upgrade revenue recurring from existing fleet

Key Risks

  • Dutch government export restrictions on China sales limit largest single market
  • Customer order timing creates lumpy quarterly revenue recognition
  • High-NA EUV yield ramp could slow if customers face adoption challenges
  • Valuation premium at ~45x forward earnings; any guidance cut is amplified

⚠️ Not financial advice. This page is for informational purposes only. All figures are sourced from public earnings reports, company guidance, and financial news. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.